Yesterday, I did some rough calculations to try to estimate how long this will take. Running $25,000 coin-in doesn't sound too difficult. But, apparently, it's a lot of play. The key will be how many hands of 100-hand VP I can play in a minute. Typically, I draw and, unless I'm dealt a particularly "interesting hand," e.g., trips or 4 to a straight flush/royal, I'll zip through the 100 hands on turbo, which does not take long. I'm estimating I can get through between 5 and 10 hands a minute. That's a wide range. At $5 a hand, which is my normal comfort level, I'd need to play 5,000 hands to hit the number. Assuming the number is more like 6 hands a minute (10 seconds a hand), it would take 14 hours to reach 2,500 credits. But that's 14 hours of non-stop, focused, grinding. In reality, and factoring in the impact of delicious beer, the number would likely be more like 18 hours. And, that assumes I have non-stop access to one of the four hundred hand machines at Harrah's
So, I think I'm adjusting the plan and will attempt to play $10 a hand. This, of course, will increase the variance. If I run bad, I could dig a deep hole . . . quickly. Failure is an option.
I also have to decide what game to play. Given I'll be increasing my sweet, sweet unit, I think I'll start with Jacks or Better and take the 2-1 return on two-pair, while sacrificing the potential for a big score with quads. Depending how it goes, perhaps I'll switch over to DDB, which is normally my game of choice. Maybe mix in some DW . . .
Frankly, if I start out terribly and am running far below expected EV by the 1,000 TC mark, I may shut it down (and collect the 1,000 bonus) and head to the $1/2 tables. In my head, I'm targeting $2,000 to $2,500 as max pain to reach $25,000 coin in. Of course, I'd like to lose far less. Hell, I'd like to WIN; but we all know that's not going to happen unless I hit some stupid good hands. I'm confident I could grind at $5 a hand and keep the losses within this range; but I'm not sure what impact raising the bet to $10 will have.
To be continued . . .